Found 10488 publications. Showing page 408 of 420:
2025
Congener group profiles of MCCPs in environmental samples from Norwegian monitoring programmes, 2025
2025
2025
Stress management with HRV following AI, semantic ontology, genetic algorithm and tree explainer
Heart Rate Variability (HRV) serves as a vital marker of stress levels, with lower HRV indicating higher stress. It measures the variation in the time between heartbeats and offers insights into health. Artificial intelligence (AI) research aims to use HRV data for accurate stress level classification, aiding early detection and well-being approaches. This study’s objective is to create a semantic model of HRV features in a knowledge graph and develop an accurate, reliable, explainable, and ethical AI model for predictive HRV analysis. The SWELL-KW dataset, containing labeled HRV data for stress conditions, is examined. Various techniques like feature selection and dimensionality reduction are explored to improve classification accuracy while minimizing bias. Different machine learning (ML) algorithms, including traditional and ensemble methods, are employed for analyzing both imbalanced and balanced HRV datasets. To address imbalances, various data formats and oversampling techniques such as SMOTE and ADASYN are experimented with. Additionally, a Tree-Explainer, specifically SHAP, is used to interpret and explain the models’ classifications. The combination of genetic algorithm-based feature selection and classification using a Random Forest Classifier yields effective results for both imbalanced and balanced datasets, especially in analyzing non-linear HRV features. These optimized features play a crucial role in developing a stress management system within a Semantic framework. Introducing domain ontology enhances data representation and knowledge acquisition. The consistency and reliability of the Ontology model are assessed using Hermit reasoners, with reasoning time as a performance measure. HRV serves as a significant indicator of stress, offering insights into its correlation with mental well-being. While HRV is non-invasive, its interpretation must integrate other stress assessments for a holistic understanding of an individual’s stress response. Monitoring HRV can help evaluate stress management strategies and interventions, aiding individuals in maintaining well-being.
2025
The apportionment of equivalent black carbon (eBC) to combustion sources from liquid fuels (mainly fossil; eBCLF) and solid fuels (mainly non-fossil; eBCSF) is commonly performed using data from Aethalometer instruments (AE approach). This study evaluates the feasibility of using AE data to determine the absorption Ångström exponents (AAEs) for liquid fuels (AAELF) and solid fuels (AAESF), which are fundamental parameters in the AE approach. AAEs were derived from Aethalometer data as the fit in a logarithmic space of the six absorption coefficients (470–950 nm) versus the corresponding wavelengths. The findings indicate that AAELF can be robustly determined as the 1st percentile (PC1) of AAE values from fits with R2 > 0.99. This R2-filtering was necessary to remove extremely low and noisy-driven AAE values commonly observed under clean atmospheric conditions (i.e., low absorption coefficients). Conversely, AAESF can be obtained from the 99th percentile (PC99) of unfiltered AAE values. To optimize the signal from solid fuel sources, winter data should be used to calculate PC99, whereas summer data should be employed for calculating PC1 to maximize the signal from liquid fuel sources. The derived PC1 (AAELF) and PC99 (AAESF) values ranged from 0.79 to 1.08, and 1.45 to 1.84, respectively. The AAESF values were further compared with those constrained using the signal at mass-to-charge 60 (m/z 60), a tracer for fresh biomass combustion, measured using aerosol chemical speciation monitor (ACSM) and aerosol mass spectrometry (AMS) instruments deployed at 16 sites. Overall, the AAESF values obtained from the two methods showed strong agreement, with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.78. However, uncertainties in both approaches may vary due to site-specific sources, and in certain environments, such as traffic-dominated sites, neither approach may be fully applicable.
2025
Status report of air quality in Europe for year 2023, using validated data
This report presents summarised information on the status of air quality in Europe in 2023, based on validated air quality monitoring data officially reported by the member and cooperating countries of the EEA. It aims at informing on the status of ambient air quality in Europe in 2023 and on the progress towards meeting the European air quality standards for the protection of health, as well as the WHO air quality guidelines. The report also compares the air quality status in 2023 with the previous years. The pollutants covered in this report are particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5), tropospheric ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), benzo(a)pyrene (BaP), sulphur dioxide (SO2), carbon monoxide (CO), benzene (C6H6) and toxic metals (As, Cd, Ni, Pb). Measured concentrations above the European air quality standards for PM10, PM2.5, O3, and NO2 were reported by 18, 6, 20, and 9 reporting countries for 2022, respectively. Exceedances of the air quality standards for BaP, SO2, CO, and benzene were measured in, respectively, 9, 2, 2, and 0 reporting countries in 2023. Exceedances of European standards for toxic metals were reported by 5 stations for As, none for Cd, 1 for Pb and 2 for Ni.
European Topic Centre on Human Health and the Environment (ETC HE)
2025
2025
Unprecedented shifts in aerosol pollution sources in China under a decade of clean air actions
China is a major hotspot of black carbon (BC) emissions, contributing to climate warming and risk to public health. Here, our dual-isotope-constrained observations indicate stringent air pollution controls have drastically reduced coal-burning in North China over the past decade, marking a transition to a “post-coal” era compared to earlier 2012–2014. However, biomass-burning fraction (fbb) for north/central/east winter hazes has doubled from earlier (north/east) ~20%, with significantly higher fbb during polluted winters. Comparisons between observation and transport modelling show good alignment in BC concentrations but substantial discrepancies in source attribution (i.e., fbb). Leveraging radiocarbon measurements, advanced atmospheric modelling, and a Bayesian approach, our study identifies biases stemming from misallocated residential fuel types in emission inventories. These findings underscore the untapped potential to mitigate BC emissions by targeting rural biomass burning, while providing critical insights into BC source evolution to refine emission inventories and formulate effective air quality policies for China and other nations facing severe air pollution.
2025
Divergent impacts of climate interventions on China’s north-south water divide
Abstract Solar radiation modification-based climate interventions may cause uneven regional hydrological changes while mitigating warming. Here, we investigate the effects of climate interventions on China’s North Drought-South Flood pattern using the Norwegian Earth System Model supplemented by volcanic data. Our results indicate that equatorial stratospheric aerosol injection could mitigate the north-south water divide by reducing inter-hemispheric and equator-to-North-pole temperature gradients, thereby modifying atmospheric circulation and the East Asian monsoon to increase precipitation and surface runoff in northern China while reducing them in the south, compared to the high emissions scenario. This mechanism is supported by observed precipitation changes following the Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption. In contrast, marine cloud brightening may intensify southern flood risks, while cirrus cloud thinning and moderate emissions reduction might exacerbate northern droughts. Our findings reveal distinct regional hydroclimatic impacts of different climate interventions, highlighting potential synergies and trade-offs between their global intervention efficacy and regional water security.
2025
Tidal Amplification in the Lower Thermosphere During the 2003 October–November Solar Storms
Abstract Using the National Center for Atmospheric Research's vertically extended version of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model nudged with reanalyses, we examine the impact of the 2003 Halloween solar storms on atmospheric tides and planetary waves in the lower thermosphere (LT). One of the largest solar flares and fastest coronal mass ejections on record occurred on 30 October, resulting in significant energy transfer via Joule heating and auroral particle precipitation in the Earth's higher latitude thermosphere. In the simulation, that occurrence creates large zonally asymmetric heating perturbations, amplifying the diurnal migrating tide (DW1), semidiurnal migrating tide (SW2), as well as non‐migrating westward and eastward tides between 120 and 200 km. Large‐amplitude bursts of DW1 in the Northern Hemisphere and non‐migrating westward tides in the Southern Hemisphere lead to westward wave forcings, which strengthen the thermospheric wind. Planetary waves are also amplified, but their forcing is much weaker than the forcing exerted by tides in the LT. Non‐migrating tides are generated by nonlinear interactions between tides, or between tides and quasi‐stationary planetary waves, and in situ processes in the LT linked to Joule heating and auroral particle precipitation. The induced disruptions of the thermospheric mean meridional circulation reinforce the Spring thermospheric branch in the Southern Hemisphere at high latitudes and oppose the Fall branch in the Northern Hemisphere. Our examination could be relevant to understand the dynamical impact of recent geomagnetic storms that occurred in May 2024 and October 2024.
2025
The semi-annual oscillation (SAO) dominates seasonal variability in the equatorial stratosphere and mesosphere. However, the seasonally dependent modulation of the SAO in the stratosphere (SSAO) and mesosphere (MSAO) by sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) in the Arctic has not been investigated in detail. In this study, we examine the seasonal evolution of the SAO during 16 major SSW events spanning 2004 to 2024 using the Japanese Atmospheric General Circulation Model for Upper Atmosphere Research Data Assimilation System Whole Neutral Atmosphere Re-analysis (JAWARA). Basic features of the SAO are well captured by JAWARA, as evidenced by the SSAO and MSAO appearing at around 50 km and 85 km, respectively. The different responses of the SAO to early and late winter SSWs are particularly strong during the Northern Hemisphere winter of 2023/24. Early winter SSWs tend to significantly intensify the westward SSAO, while late winter SSWs tend to weaken the eastward SSAO. Similarly, the eastward MSAO is amplified during early winter SSWs, whereas the westward MSAO is slightly weakened during late winter SSWs. The weak MSAO response is probably due to its smaller climatological magnitude. Modulation of the SAO by SSWs is related to meridional temperature changes during SSWs through the thermal wind balance. Our findings contribute to the understanding of coupling between the tropics and high latitudes, as well as interhemispheric coupling.
2025
2025
Tore har 52 flyreiser på ett år: – Flaut
Tore Christian Sævold lever et dobbeltliv. I ti år har han pendlet fra Stockholm til Bergen for å holde liv i skuespillerkarrieren.
2025
2025
Aerosol hygroscopicity influenced by seasonal chemical composition variations in the Arctic region
In this study, we quantified aerosol hygroscopicity parameter using aerosol microphysical observation data (κphy), analyzing monthly and seasonal trends in κphy by correlating it with aerosol chemical composition over 6 years from April 2007 to March 2013 at the Zeppelin Observatory in Svalbard, Arctic region. The monthly mean κphy value exhibited distinct seasonal variations, remaining high from winter to spring, reaching its minimum in summer, followed by an increase in fall, and maintaining elevated levels in winter. To verify the reliability of κphy, we employed the hygroscopicity parameter calculated from chemical composition data (κchem). The chemical composition and PM2.5 mass concentration required to calculate κchem was obtained through Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis data and the calculation of κchem assumed that Arctic aerosols comprise only five species: black carbon (BC), organic matter (OM), ammonium sulfate (AS), sea salt aerosol less than a diameter of 2.5 μm (SSA2.5), and dust aerosol less than a diameter of 2.5 μm (Dust2.5). The κchem had no distinct correlation but had a similar seasonal trend compared to κphy. The κchem value followed a trend of SSA2.5 and was much higher by a factor of 1.6 ± 0.3 than κphy on average, due to a large proportion of SSA2.5 mass concentration in MERRA-2 reanalysis data. This may be due to the overestimation of sea salt aerosols in MERRA-2 reanalysis. The relationship between monthly mean κphy and the chemical composition used to calculate κchem was also analyzed. The elevated κphy from October to February resulted from the dominant influence of SSA2.5, while the maximum κphy in March was concurrently influenced by increasing AS and Dust2.5 associated with long-range transport from mid-latitude regions during Arctic haze periods and by SSA mass concentration obtained from in-situ sampling, which remained high from the preceding winter. The relatively low κphy from April to September can be attributed to low SSA2.5 and the dominance of organic compounds in the Arctic summer. Either natural sources such as those of marine and terrestrial biogenic origin or long-range-transported aerosols may contribute to the increase in organic aerosols in summer, potentially influencing the reduction in κphy of atmospheric aerosols. To our knowledge, this is the first study to analyze the monthly and seasonal variation of aerosol hygroscopicity calculated using long-term microphysical data, and this result provides evidence that changes in monthly and seasonal hygroscopicity variation occur depending on chemical composition.
2025
2025
We have used the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) Earth system model GISS-E2.1 to study the future budgets and trends of global and regional CH4 under different emission scenarios, using both the prescribed GHG concentrations as well as the interactive CH4 sources and sinks setup of the model, to quantify the model performance and its sensitivity to CH4 sources and sinks. We have used the Current Legislation (CLE) and the maximum feasible reduction (MFR) emission scenarios from the ECLIPSE V6b emission database to simulate the future evolution of CH4 sources, sinks, and levels from 2015 to 2050. Results show that the prescribed GHG version underestimates the observed surface CH4 concentrations during the period between 1995 and 2023 by 1%, with the largest underestimations over the continental emission regions, while the interactive simulation underestimates the observations by 2%, with the biases largest over oceans and smaller over the continents. For the future, the MFR scenario simulates lower global surface CH4 concentrations and burdens compared to the CLE scenario, however in both cases, global surface CH4 and burden continue to increase through 2050 compared to present day. In addition, the interactive simulation calculates slightly larger O3 and OH mixing ratios, in particular over the northern hemisphere, leading to slightly decreased CH4 lifetime in the present day. The CH4 forcing is projected to increase in both scenarios, in particular in the CLE scenario, from 0.53 W m−2 in the present day to 0.73 W m−2 in 2050. In addition, the interactive simulations estimate slightly higher tropospheric O3 forcing compared to prescribed simulations, due to slightly higher O3 mixing ratios simulated by the interactive models. While in the CLE, tropospheric O3 forcing continues to increase, the MFR scenario leads to a decrease in tropospheric O3 forcing, leading to a climate benefit. Our results highlight that in the interactive models, the response of concentrations are not necessarily linear with the changes in emissions as the chemistry is non-linear, and dependent on the oxidative capacity of the atmosphere. Therefore, it is important to have the CH4 sources and chemical sinks to be represented comprehensively in climate models.
2025
2025